1923 M.K.Paşaspor 1-5 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.4pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1923 M.K.Paşaspor EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 72%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.33
+28% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +145%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1923 M.K.Paşaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
14.12.2024 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 4-0 1923 M.K.Paşaspor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1923 M.K.Paşaspor
1-5
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 11
POST-MATCH 1923 M.K.Paşaspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. cruised past 1923 M.K.Paşaspor 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 1923 M.K.Paşaspor had 43% of the ball to Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.'s 57%, shots finished 3-21.

What was the final score of 1923 M.K.Paşaspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

1923 M.K.Paşaspor 1-5 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1923 M.K.Paşaspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split 1923 M.K.Paşaspor 18%, draw 28%, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 54%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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