Ruzomberok 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruzomberok EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.42/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
24.3 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruzomberok
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 26
30 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 HT 0-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
30.11.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 4-2 HT 0-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
25.08.2024 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 2-2 HT 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
17.02.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-1 HT 0-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
30.09.2023 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
01.04.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-2 HT 0-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruzomberok
1-0
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
3.10 xG 0.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
196 Passes 261
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ruzomberok vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruzomberok edged past Zemplin Michalovce 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ruzomberok as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ruzomberok had 47% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 53%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 3.10 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ruzomberok's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zemplin Michalovce led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ruzomberok and 1.67 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Ruzomberok vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Ruzomberok 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruzomberok vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruzomberok win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ruzomberok 43%, draw 26%, Zemplin Michalovce 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruzomberok) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ruzomberok)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
26 Apr 2025
19:00 FK Kosice vs Podbrezova Analysis →
21:30 Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →