Nam Dinh FC 3-1 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.95
Over
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.6pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nam Dinh FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.38/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.78
+38% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nam Dinh FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Binh Duong
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.01.2025 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİETK
20.11.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-4 HT 0-4 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİET
08.05.2024 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
30.04.2024 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİETK
16.12.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 3-2 HT 0-0 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİET
02.07.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-3 HT 1-3 Nam Dinh FC Nam Dinh FC VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nam Dinh FC
3-1
AWAY Binh Duong
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nam Dinh FC vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nam Dinh FC got the better of Binh Duong 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nam Dinh FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nam Dinh FC had 51% of the ball to Binh Duong's 49%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nam Dinh FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nam Dinh FC and 1.50 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Nam Dinh FC vs Binh Duong?

Nam Dinh FC 3-1 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nam Dinh FC vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nam Dinh FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nam Dinh FC 47%, draw 30%, Binh Duong 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nam Dinh FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nam Dinh FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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