Cartagena 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.39
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS3
17.03.2012 Cartagena Cartagena 1-3 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
09.10.2011 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
05.03.2011 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
09.10.2010 Cartagena Cartagena 2-2 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
17.04.2010 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 3-2 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-0
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena edged past Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cartagena as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Cartagena had 61% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 39%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cartagena and 2.00 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Cartagena 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 52%, draw 25%, Gimnastic Tarragona 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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