KA Akureyri vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-1
Keflavik
İZL
3-4
HT 1-2
KA Akureyri
İZL
0-0
HT 0-0
Keflavik
İZL
2-1
HT 0-1
KA Akureyri
İZLK
1-3
HT 1-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
3-2
HT 1-1
Keflavik
İZL
KA Akureyri 1-2 Keflavik — Actual Match Statistics
Keflavik nicked a narrow win over KA Akureyri 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 54% of the ball to Keflavik's 46%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.63 to 2.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Keflavik's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.67 for Keflavik.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Keflavik?
KA Akureyri 1-2 Keflavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Keflavik?
Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 53%, draw 23%, Keflavik 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.