Suwon FC 1-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 26 Apr 2026

Suwon FC
1-1 HT 1-0
Gimpo Citizen
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Suwon FC vs Gimpo Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Suwon FC v Gimpo Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.50/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.70
+34% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +81%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
14.7 Crosses 19.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Suwon FC 1-1 Gimpo Citizen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon FC
1-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
239 Passes 367
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon FC vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon FC and Gimpo Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Suwon FC had 41% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 59%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Suwon FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Suwon FC 1-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon FC vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Suwon FC 36%, draw 24%, Gimpo Citizen 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
26 Apr 2026
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10:30 Yongin vs Gimhae City Analysis →