Gomerano 4-1 Nueva Santa Rosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.72
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.9
Over
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gomerano win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.0pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomerano The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Santa Rosa The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gomerano vs Nueva Santa Rosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomerano ran out comfortable winners over Nueva Santa Rosa 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gomerano as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gomerano vs Nueva Santa Rosa?

Gomerano 4-1 Nueva Santa Rosa in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomerano vs Nueva Santa Rosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomerano win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gomerano 58%, draw 18%, Nueva Santa Rosa 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomerano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gomerano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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