FC Rustavi 2-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Rustavi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 49%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.96
-11% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
226 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Rustavi
2-1
AWAY Saburtalo
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Rustavi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Rustavi edged past Saburtalo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Rustavi had 48% of the ball to Saburtalo's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of FC Rustavi vs Saburtalo?

FC Rustavi 2-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Rustavi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Rustavi 31%, draw 26%, Saburtalo 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saburtalo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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