Tobol 2-1 Kaspyi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

Tobol
2 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Kaspyi
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tobol The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaspyi The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.96 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.66
0.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kaspyi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
21.10.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
10.03.2023 Kaspyi Kaspyi 0-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
19.06.2022 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
11.03.2022 Kaspyi Kaspyi 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
12.09.2021 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaspyi Kaspyi KAZP
28.04.2021 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
REVIEW Tobol vs Kaspyi
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tobol edged past Kaspyi 2-1.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Kaspyi.

Tobol vs Kaspyi Result & Final Score

Tobol 2 - 1 Kaspyi in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tobol vs Kaspyi Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tobol 64%, draw 22%, Kaspyi 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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