Hammarby 3-0 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 May 2024

Hammarby
3-0 HT 1-0
IK Sirius
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hammarby vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.84
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
13%
4.97
X/2
14%
6.97
X/X
10%
5.26
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.55
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.8
Value flag · 2/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.41/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
+31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.5 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Hammarby vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
4W-2D-0L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.84 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
401 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
20.10.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
25.04.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
27.10.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
08.05.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 3-2 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

Hammarby 3-0 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
3-0
AWAY IK Sirius
1.17 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 8
384 Passes 320
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby ran out comfortable winners over IK Sirius 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hammarby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hammarby had 53% of the ball to IK Sirius's 47%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hammarby and 1.00 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs IK Sirius?

Hammarby 3-0 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 37%, draw 27%, IK Sirius 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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