Grasshoppers 1-1 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League Playoff / Out, 26 May 2024

Grasshoppers
1-1 HT 0-0
Thun
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League Playoff / Out – 2023/2024

Grasshoppers vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
9%
4.71
X/2
13%
7.06
X/X
14%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.04
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grasshoppers v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -99%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
– Crosses 30.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Grasshoppers vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Thun
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.00 xG 0.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
250 Passes 317
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.09.2021 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVK
23.04.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
12.02.2021 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
11.12.2020 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
02.11.2020 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
20.04.2019 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers and Thun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.17 for Thun.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Thun?

Grasshoppers 1-1 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League Playoff / Out on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 39%, draw 27%, Thun 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grasshoppers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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