Real Sociedad (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.65
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
33%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+14.8pp
33%
Draw
21%
+11.9pp
33%
Away Win
60%
-26.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
Crosses 17.9
Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
1-2
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.59 xG 2.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
324 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) edged past Real Sociedad (K) 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Sociedad (K) had 47% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 53%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 0.59 to 2.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Real Sociedad (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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