Valencia (K) 3-1 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 26 May 2024

Valencia (K)
3-1 HT 3-0
Sevilla (K)
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

Valencia (K) vs Sevilla (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia (K) v Sevilla (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.61/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.12
+127% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.0 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Valencia (K) 3-1 Sevilla (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
3-1
AWAY Sevilla (K)
2.55 xG 0.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia (K) got the better of Sevilla (K) 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Valencia (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 50% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 50%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.55 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Valencia (K) 3-1 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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