Dnepr Rogachev 1-1 Belshina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Belshina EU Bookmakers 33%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
4.64/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.76
+150% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
1-1
AWAY Belshina
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs Belshina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev and Belshina shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Dnepr Rogachev at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dnepr Rogachev had 46% of the ball to Belshina's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs Belshina?

Dnepr Rogachev 1-1 Belshina in the Belarus - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs Belshina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 42%, draw 25%, Belshina 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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