Vancouver FC 2-1 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.78/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
-15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +76%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
11.7 Crosses 11.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Pacific FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.02 xG 1.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
270 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
19.08.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
03.06.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 3-6 HT 2-2 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
2-1
AWAY Pacific FC
1.87 xG 1.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
287 Passes 388
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 36
26 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC nicked a narrow win over Pacific FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Vancouver FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 44% of the ball to Pacific FC's 56%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.87 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Vancouver FC and 3.00 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC?

Vancouver FC 2-1 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 33%, draw 29%, Pacific FC 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pacific FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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