Persib Bandung 3-0 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +31%
1.80/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.01
+0% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persib Bandung
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Madura United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
01.11.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
20.01.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
30.07.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 1-3 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
13.03.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3-2 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
04.12.2021 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
05.10.2019 Madura United Madura United 2-1 HT 1-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persib Bandung vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persib Bandung cruised past Madura United 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persib Bandung as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Persib Bandung and 1.17 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Persib Bandung vs Madura United?

Persib Bandung 3-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persib Bandung vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persib Bandung win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Persib Bandung 44%, draw 28%, Madura United 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persib Bandung), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persib Bandung) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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