Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-2
AWAY Awassa Kenema
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema nicked a narrow win over Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hadiya Hosaena at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 50% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 50%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-2 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 50%, draw 22%, Awassa Kenema 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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