RoPS 1-1 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 26 May 2024

RoPS
1-1 HT 0-0
KuPS Ak.
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2024

RoPS vs KuPS Ak. Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.33
Over 2.5
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
18%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 28% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
33%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+16.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-16.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.5pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RoPS v KuPS Ak. — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RoPS EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH RoPS vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RoPS and KuPS Ak. couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RoPS at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of RoPS vs KuPS Ak.?

RoPS 1-1 KuPS Ak. in the Finland - Ykkönen on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RoPS vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a RoPS win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split RoPS 55%, draw 22%, KuPS Ak. 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (RoPS), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RoPS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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