Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 Wydad Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.41
Over 2.5
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Fes EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.66/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.06
-52% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Wydad Fes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 1-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
05.04.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 3-1 HT 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
16.10.2022 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 2-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Wydad Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Ben Guerir edged past Wydad Fes 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chabab Ben Guerir as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chabab Ben Guerir and 1.33 for Wydad Fes.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Wydad Fes?

Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 Wydad Fes in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Wydad Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 46%, draw 31%, Wydad Fes 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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