Siheung Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 45%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.26/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.03
+113% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 5
03.09.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
07.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
09.07.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-0 HT 3-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
27.03.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen squeezed past Hwaseong 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Siheung Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.00 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Siheung Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 35%, draw 30%, Hwaseong 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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