26/05/2024
·
07:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Fukuyama City vs Okinawa SV Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
29%
21%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
46%
36%
Under 2.5
42%
64%
Over 2.5
58%
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
38%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fukuyama City v Okinawa SV — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fukuyama City
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Okinawa SV
EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
15
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
6
333 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fukuyama City vs Okinawa SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fukuyama City swept aside Okinawa SV 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Fukuyama City found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Fukuyama City vs Okinawa SV?
Fukuyama City 3-0 Okinawa SV in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fukuyama City vs Okinawa SV?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fukuyama City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fukuyama City 41%, draw 21%, Okinawa SV 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fukuyama City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Fukuyama City)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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JPK
More Japan - İmparatorluk Cup
26 May 2024