El Geish 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.53
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.8 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.78 xG 0.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
305 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-2 HT 0-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-0
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1.27 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
296 Passes 228
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had El Geish as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 54% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.01.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

El Geish 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split El Geish 49%, draw 30%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Geish), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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