Lilleström II 3-2 Surnadal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.23
No
28%
3.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.2pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
72%
BTTS Yes
77%
-5.2pp
28%
BTTS No
23%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Surnadal EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström II
3-2
AWAY Surnadal
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lilleström II vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström II edged past Surnadal 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lilleström II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (72%) came in.

On the day, Lilleström II had 61% of the ball to Surnadal's 39%, shots finished 22-6.

What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Surnadal?

Lilleström II 3-2 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Surnadal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 45%, draw 19%, Surnadal 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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