Sport Boys 1-0 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 39%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.45/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.33
+24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.9 Crosses 13.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
1W-1D-2L
AWAY ADT
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 1.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
221 Passes 273
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
10.03.2023 ADT ADT 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
26.08.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-1 ADT ADT PER
10.04.2022 ADT ADT 3-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1-0
AWAY ADT
1.75 xG 0.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
209 Passes 224
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys edged past ADT 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sport Boys found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sport Boys had 48% of the ball to ADT's 52%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.75 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sport Boys's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, ADT led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sport Boys and 1.50 for ADT.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs ADT?

Sport Boys 1-0 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 38%, draw 29%, ADT 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Boys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
26 May 2024
22:30 Alianza Atletico vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo Analysis →