Arka Gdynia 0-1 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.40/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.47
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Katowice
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
01.04.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-2 HT 2-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
28.08.2022 Katowice Katowice 0-1 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
19.03.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-2 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
16.09.2021 Katowice Katowice 2-4 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
15.08.2015 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-0 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
0-1
AWAY Katowice
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice nicked a narrow win over Arka Gdynia 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Katowice made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 52% of the ball to Katowice's 48%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.17 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Katowice?

Arka Gdynia 0-1 Katowice in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 40%, draw 25%, Katowice 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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