AS Ariana 3-1 Sporting Ben Arous — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
3-1
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Sporting Ben Arous
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana saw off Sporting Ben Arous 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AS Ariana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Ariana had 48% of the ball to Sporting Ben Arous's 52%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Sporting Ben Arous?

AS Ariana 3-1 Sporting Ben Arous in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 41%, draw 31%, Sporting Ben Arous 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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