Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 Guangzhou E-Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
51%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.29
2-3 Goals
33%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
37%
2.81
6+ Goals
9%
7.96
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.81 — our 37% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
51%
Away Win
63%
-12.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou E-Power EU Bookmakers 67%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.01/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.31
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 82%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.0 Crosses 23.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen Juniors
2-1
AWAY Guangzhou E-Power
1.29 xG 1.82
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
159 Passes 430
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangzhou E-Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen Juniors squeezed past Guangzhou E-Power 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Guangzhou E-Power at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen Juniors had 33% of the ball to Guangzhou E-Power's 67%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.29 to 1.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guangzhou E-Power.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangzhou E-Power?

Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 Guangzhou E-Power in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangzhou E-Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangzhou E-Power win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 25%, draw 24%, Guangzhou E-Power 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou E-Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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