Guabira 1-3 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.73
+38% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
14.0 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
197 Passes 180
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Guabira Guabira 2-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.07.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
26.08.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
10.04.2023 Guabira Guabira 2-3 HT 1-2 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
09.03.2023 Guabira Guabira 0-1 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero CON CSA
10.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-3
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.10 xG 1.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
245 Passes 158
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero saw off Guabira 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Oriente Petrolero found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guabira had 60% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 40%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.10 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guabira and 1.33 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero?

Guabira 1-3 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guabira 39%, draw 32%, Oriente Petrolero 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guabira), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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