USM Alger 1-1 Oued Akbou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 34% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Akbou EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.70/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.08
+15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oued Akbou
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.02.2025 Oued Akbou Oued Akbou 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-1
AWAY Oued Akbou
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Oued Akbou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger and Oued Akbou shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, USM Alger had 45% of the ball to Oued Akbou's 55%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Oued Akbou?

USM Alger 1-1 Oued Akbou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Oued Akbou?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 46%, draw 31%, Oued Akbou 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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