Zalgiris II 4-3 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.7pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.14/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.18
+42% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
4-3
AWAY Hegelmann II
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Zalgiris II edged past Hegelmann II 4-3 in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26 May 2025. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 58% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 42%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?

Zalgiris II 4-3 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 64%, draw 20%, Hegelmann II 16%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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