Belçika U17 1-2 İtalya U17 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U17 Championship, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika U17 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U17 EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+88% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika U17
1-2
AWAY İtalya U17
0.38 xG 1.84
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
264 Passes 506
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belçika U17 vs İtalya U17
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U17 edged past Belçika U17 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day İtalya U17 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Belçika U17 had 37% of the ball to İtalya U17's 63%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.38 to 1.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İtalya U17's control.

What was the final score of Belçika U17 vs İtalya U17?

Belçika U17 1-2 İtalya U17 in the European U17 Championship on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika U17 vs İtalya U17?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika U17 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Belçika U17 38%, draw 27%, İtalya U17 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Belçika U17) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belçika U17) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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