Black Stars 4-1 Mbeya City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 26 May 2026

📅26/05/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.29
Draw
33%
4.81
Away
33%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
73%
-40.1pp
33%
Draw
18%
+15.4pp
33%
Away Win
9%
+24.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Black Stars EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbeya City EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.14/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.06
-12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Black Stars
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mbeya City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.03.2026 Mbeya City Mbeya City 1-4 Black Stars Black Stars Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Black Stars vs Mbeya City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Black Stars ran out comfortable winners over Mbeya City 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Black Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Black Stars vs Mbeya City?

Black Stars 4-1 Mbeya City in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 26/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Black Stars vs Mbeya City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Black Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Black Stars 33%, draw 33%, Mbeya City 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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