Piast Gliwice 1-0 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jun 2024

Piast Gliwice
1-0 HT 1-0
Pogon Szczecin
📅26/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Piast Gliwice v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.73
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.65 xG 1.02
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
262 Passes 505
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
20.10.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
29.04.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
15.10.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
05.02.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
08.08.2021 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Piast Gliwice 1-0 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-0
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice edged past Pogon Szczecin 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Piast Gliwice made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 46% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 54%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.67 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Piast Gliwice 1-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Friendlies on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 33%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Under 2.5
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