Kataller Toyama 3-0 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.53/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.09
-7% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
437 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
17.06.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-2 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
28.11.2021 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
03.07.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
18.10.2020 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
3-0
AWAY Grulla Morioka
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama cruised past Grulla Morioka 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 65% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 35%, shots finished 22-1.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.00 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Grulla Morioka?

Kataller Toyama 3-0 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 56%, draw 22%, Grulla Morioka 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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