Blackwatch Rush 3-0 Pathfinder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackwatch Rush EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pathfinder EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackwatch Rush
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pathfinder
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16.07.2023 Pathfinder Pathfinder 1-7 HT 0-0 Blackwatch Rush Blackwatch Rush USL2
07.07.2023 Blackwatch Rush Blackwatch Rush 2-0 HT 1-0 Pathfinder Pathfinder USL2
POST-MATCH Blackwatch Rush vs Pathfinder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackwatch Rush cruised past Pathfinder 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Blackwatch Rush as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Blackwatch Rush had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Blackwatch Rush and 0.50 for Pathfinder.

What was the final score of Blackwatch Rush vs Pathfinder?

Blackwatch Rush 3-0 Pathfinder in the USA - USL League 2 on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackwatch Rush vs Pathfinder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackwatch Rush win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Blackwatch Rush 48%, draw 29%, Pathfinder 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackwatch Rush), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackwatch Rush) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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