26/06/2024
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Real Frontera vs Urena Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
15%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
27%
Draw
28%
44%
Away Win
45%
42%
Under 2.5
59%
58%
Over 2.5
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Frontera v Urena — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Real Frontera
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Urena
EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
278 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Real Frontera vs Urena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Real Frontera cruised past Urena 6-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Urena at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Real Frontera vs Urena?
Real Frontera 6-1 Urena in the VENK on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Frontera vs Urena?
Before kick-off our model rated an Urena win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Frontera 29%, draw 27%, Urena 44%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Urena) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Urena)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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