Hollanda (K) 2-1 Finlandiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 25% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.81/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.74
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
23.5 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Finlandiya (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.86 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
406 Passes 303
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.06.2024 Finlandiya (K) Finlandiya (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) KAVŞE
31.05.2024 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Finlandiya (K) Finlandiya (K) KAVŞE
02.07.2022 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Finlandiya (K) Finlandiya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda (K)
2-1
AWAY Finlandiya (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hollanda (K) vs Finlandiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda (K) edged past Finlandiya (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hollanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hollanda (K) had 62% of the ball to Finlandiya (K)'s 38%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hollanda (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hollanda (K) and 0.33 for Finlandiya (K).

What was the final score of Hollanda (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Hollanda (K) 2-1 Finlandiya (K) in the Friendlies on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hollanda (K) 58%, draw 25%, Finlandiya (K) 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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