Caracas FC vs Aragua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caracas FC v Aragua — Team-Based Signals
Caracas FC vs Aragua Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-1
Caracas FC
VEN
1-0
HT 1-0
Aragua
VEN
0-0
HT 0-0
Caracas FC
VEN
0-1
HT 0-1
Aragua
VEN
Caracas FC 4-0 Aragua — Actual Match Statistics
Caracas FC swept aside Aragua 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Caracas FC had 60% of the ball to Aragua's 40%, shots finished 16-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aragua led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Caracas FC and 1.40 for Aragua.
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Aragua?
Caracas FC 4-0 Aragua in the VENK on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Aragua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 54%, draw 25%, Aragua 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.