Ogre United 3-2 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 48%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.45/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.05
-26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
20.0 Crosses 23.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.89 xG 1.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 256
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 6-1 HT 2-0 Ogre United LET
15.03.2026 Ogre United 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ogre United
3-2
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.50 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
270 Passes 311
12 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Ogre United vs FK Tukums 2000
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ogre United edged past FK Tukums 2000 3-2 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26 Jun 2026. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Ogre United had 43% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 57%, shots finished 13-24, expected goals 1.50 to 1.31.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 lead the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ogre United and 3.50 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs FK Tukums 2000?

Ogre United 3-2 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 34%, draw 22%, FK Tukums 2000 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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