Throttur Vogar 3-2 Vikingur Olafsvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
32%
+11.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
44%
-11.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik EU Bookmakers 48%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.02
+95% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +73%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Vogar
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1 Corners 7
09.09.2023 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 4-0 HT 0-0 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZL2
30.06.2023 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik 2-1 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
13.06.2020 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZK
POST-MATCH Throttur Vogar vs Vikingur Olafsvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Vogar squeezed past Vikingur Olafsvik 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Throttur Vogar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vikingur Olafsvik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Throttur Vogar and 1.33 for Vikingur Olafsvik.

What was the final score of Throttur Vogar vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

Throttur Vogar 3-2 Vikingur Olafsvik in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Vogar vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Vogar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Throttur Vogar 44%, draw 24%, Vikingur Olafsvik 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Throttur Vogar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Throttur Vogar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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