Corinthians vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
4-4
HT 3-2
Gremio
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Gremio
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
Corinthians 2-2 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians and Gremio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 64% of the ball to Gremio's 36%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.62 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Corinthians and 0.83 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Gremio?
Corinthians 2-2 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 41%, draw 32%, Gremio 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.