Ceara vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceara v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Ceara vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Ceara
BR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
Ceara 4-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara ran out comfortable winners over Botafogo SP 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ceara had 49% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 51%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.86 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ceara and 1.00 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
Ceara 4-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ceara 55%, draw 25%, Botafogo SP 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.