SonderjyskE 1-1 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 Jul 2024

SonderjyskE
1-1 HT 1-1
Lyngby
📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

SonderjyskE vs Lyngby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
13%
4.42
X/2
9%
7.5
X/X
13%
4.4
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
19%
5.72
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SonderjyskE v Lyngby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.73
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 72%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.3 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

SonderjyskE vs Lyngby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lyngby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 2.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 Passes 392
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.05.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-0 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
21.04.2021 Lyngby Lyngby 0-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
01.03.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 0-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
16.12.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAK
04.10.2020 Lyngby Lyngby 2-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
08.07.2020 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN

SonderjyskE 1-1 Lyngby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
1-1
AWAY Lyngby
1.25 xG 0.76
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 224
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE and Lyngby couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 58% of the ball to Lyngby's 42%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.25 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SonderjyskE had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.33 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Lyngby?

SonderjyskE 1-1 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated a SonderjyskE win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 39%, draw 27%, Lyngby 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SonderjyskE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SonderjyskE) ✓ Under 2.5
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