Trans Narva 2-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.43
Over 2.5
45%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+17.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-17.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.9pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 20%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.47/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.00
-25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-3 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
30.03.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
2-1
AWAY Nomme United
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva squeezed past Nomme United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 46% of the ball to Nomme United's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Trans Narva and 0.50 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Nomme United?

Trans Narva 2-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 51%, draw 24%, Nomme United 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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