Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.82
No
40%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.94/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.56
-18% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.04.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-2 HT 2-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
28.10.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-3 HT 3-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
04.06.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City edged past Chuncheon Citizen 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mokpo City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 2.00 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chuncheon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 35%, draw 31%, Mokpo City 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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