America de Cali 4-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.44/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.32
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
17.1 Crosses 10.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Envigado
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.90 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
246 Passes 262
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
26.02.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
09.07.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
21.01.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
02.08.2021 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
4-0
AWAY Envigado
1.77 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 303
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali swept aside Envigado 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 55% of the ball to Envigado's 45%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.77 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for America de Cali and 0.33 for Envigado.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Envigado?

America de Cali 4-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 56%, draw 24%, Envigado 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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