26/07/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-2
Rezekne / BJSS vs Tukums II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
22%
Draw
22%
51%
Away Win
48%
42%
Under 2.5
35%
58%
Over 2.5
65%
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
47%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rezekne / BJSS v Tukums II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rezekne / BJSS
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tukums II
EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+43% /
+43%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+7%
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
363 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
348 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Rezekne / BJSS vs Tukums II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Rezekne / BJSS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Tukums II
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
08.07.2023
Tukums II
2-1
Rezekne / BJSS
LET1
2-1
Rezekne / BJSS
LET1
POST-MATCH
Rezekne / BJSS vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rezekne / BJSS nicked a narrow win over Tukums II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Tukums II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Rezekne / BJSS vs Tukums II?
Rezekne / BJSS 2-1 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rezekne / BJSS vs Tukums II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rezekne / BJSS 27%, draw 22%, Tukums II 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tukums II) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Tukums II)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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