Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.62/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.99
-1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Györi ETO
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-1 HT 0-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
19.08.2023 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-2 HT 1-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
11.12.2022 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-2 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
31.07.2022 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-0 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
24.04.2022 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-1 HT 1-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
07.11.2021 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0-1 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2-1
AWAY Györi ETO
2.01 xG 0.63
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
199 Passes 391
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus nicked a narrow win over Györi ETO 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Nyiregyhaza Spartacus made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had 38% of the ball to Györi ETO's 62%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.01 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Györi ETO led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and 1.33 for Györi ETO.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Györi ETO?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 37%, draw 28%, Györi ETO 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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