Al Masry 0-1 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
7%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 71%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
0.78/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.71
-40% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -24%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
15.3 Crosses 19.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.52 xG 1.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
218 Passes 355
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
03.08.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSRK
26.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.01.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
10.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
09.04.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
0-1
AWAY Al Ahly
0.33 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
338 Passes 355
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly edged past Al Masry 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Masry had 49% of the ball to Al Ahly's 51%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.33 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Masry and 1.33 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Al Ahly?

Al Masry 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 20%, draw 25%, Al Ahly 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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