Brunswick City 5-3 Northcote City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 26 Jul 2024

Brunswick City
5-3 HT 2-1
Northcote City
📅26/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2024

Brunswick City vs Northcote City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.8pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brunswick City v Northcote City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brunswick City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Northcote City EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Brunswick City vs Northcote City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brunswick City beat Northcote City 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Northcote City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Brunswick City vs Northcote City?

Brunswick City 5-3 Northcote City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brunswick City vs Northcote City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brunswick City 27%, draw 26%, Northcote City 47%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northcote City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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